Estimated squad cost
£8,000,000
Effective cap includes George Ford (£550,000)
Cap headroom (est.)
£0
£6,950,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)
Championship Efficiency
4.16 (poor)
Projected win probability
43.7% · modelled

Moneyball club study
Squad cost, positional investment and replacement-adjusted player value — under one lens.
Effective cap includes George Ford (£550,000)
£6,950,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)
Squad analysis
Player detail
| Player | Position | WARRP | IPV | Est. salary | Value tier | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom O'Flaherty | Wing | 19.78 | 9.16 | £216,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Joe Carpenter | Fullback | 13.85 | 8.15 | £170,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Raffi Quirke | Scrum-half | 10.58 | 5.75 | £184,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ernst van Rhyn | Lock | 8.43 | 4.69 | £180,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Jacques Vermeulen | Flanker | 8.36 | 3.34 | £250,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Rekeiti Ma'asi-White | Centre | 7.74 | 3.03 | £255,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Nathan Jibulu | Hooker | 7.23 | 4.02 | £180,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Tom Roebuck | Wing | 6.13 | 3.03 | £202,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sam Dugdale | Number 8 | 4.20 | 1.50 | £280,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Bevan Rodd | Prop | 3.20 | 2.21 | £145,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tristan Woodman | Flanker | 2.90 | 1.59 | £182,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ben Bamber | Lock | 2.87 | 1.59 | £180,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Arron Reed | Wing | 1.74 | 1.00 | £173,000 | Fair value | Modelled-Medium |
| Ollie Davies | Flanker | 0.54 | 0.41 | £133,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Will Austin | Flanker | 0.35 | 0.28 | £127,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| James Harper | Prop | -0.12 | -0.06 | £190,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| George Ford | Fly-half | -0.29 | -0.05 | £550,000 | Overvalued | Reported |
| Marius Louw | Centre | -0.48 | -0.22 | £216,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Dylan Hodkinson | Flanker | -0.64 | -0.57 | £113,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Hyron Andrews | Lock | -0.83 | -0.66 | £126,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Si McIntyre | Prop | -0.96 | -0.75 | £128,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Jos Gilmore | Flanker | -1.00 | -0.76 | £132,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Seb Kelly | Flanker | -1.13 | -0.75 | £150,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Gurshwin Wehr | Flanker | -1.59 | -1.33 | £119,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Burrow | Lock | -1.69 | -1.71 | £99,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tye Raymont | Flanker | -1.79 | -1.50 | £119,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Luke Cowan-Dickie | Hooker | -2.62 | -1.81 | £145,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Dom Hanson | Flanker | -3.30 | -2.62 | £126,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ben Curry | Flanker | -3.64 | -1.21 | £300,000 | Overvalued | Inferred-Medium |
| Tumy Onasanya | Flanker | -3.92 | -3.04 | £129,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Asher Opoku-Fordjour | Prop | -4.20 | -2.39 | £176,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Curry | Number 8 | -4.41 | -1.10 | £400,000 | Overvalued | Inferred-Medium |
| Rob du Preez | Centre | -4.83 | -1.91 | £253,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Patreece Bell | Flanker | -4.94 | -3.71 | £133,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Gus Warr | Scrum-half | -5.02 | -2.30 | £218,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ralph McEachran | Prop | -5.14 | -4.43 | £116,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Willgriff John | Prop | -5.17 | -5.17 | £100,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sam Bedlow | Centre | -5.82 | -5.02 | £116,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Alfie Longstaff | Hooker | -6.27 | -5.27 | £119,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Dan du Preez | Number 8 | -6.73 | -4.52 | £149,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Regan Grace | Flanker | -6.76 | -6.14 | £110,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Reuben Logan | Number 8 | -7.00 | -5.22 | £134,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Alex Wills | Wing | -7.53 | -5.34 | £141,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Joe Bedlow | Centre | -8.15 | -6.96 | £117,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ethan Caine | Hooker | -8.50 | -7.73 | £110,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Luke James | Fullback | -10.81 | -9.91 | £109,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |