Moneyball club study
Squad spend, where minutes go, and which players look like value or a stretch.
Northampton SaintsEffective cap includes Fin Smith (£600,000)
£7,000,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)
Squad analysis
Player detail
| Player | Position | WARRP | IPV | Est. salary | Value tier | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Freeman | Wing | 25.77 | 8.31 | £310,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Tom Litchfield | Centre | 17.30 | 9.94 | £174,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Henry Pollock | Number 8 | 16.37 | 11.69 | £140,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| George Hendy | Fullback | 15.14 | 11.64 | £130,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Fin Smith | Fly-half | 12.34 | 2.06 | £600,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Tom Pearson | Flanker | 12.15 | 6.39 | £190,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Archie McParland | Scrum-half | 11.61 | 8.18 | £142,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Rory Hutchinson | Centre | 10.27 | 5.77 | £178,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Edoardo Todaro | Wing | 9.65 | 7.79 | £124,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| George Furbank | Fullback | 9.35 | 6.19 | £151,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Josh Kemeny | Flanker | 8.97 | 4.96 | £181,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Alex Mitchell | Scrum-half | 8.04 | 2.47 | £325,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Alex Coles | Lock | 8.02 | 4.58 | £175,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Callum Chick | Number 8 | 8.01 | 4.17 | £192,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| JJ van der Mescht | Lock | 7.33 | 6.54 | £112,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sam Graham | Flanker | 7.05 | 4.83 | £146,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Fraser Dingwall | Centre | 4.00 | 2.30 | £174,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Danilo Fischetti | Prop | 3.62 | 1.45 | £250,000 | Fair value | Reported |
| Emmanuel Iyogun | Prop | 2.34 | 1.75 | £134,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Craig Wright | Hooker | 1.54 | 1.42 | £108,000 | Fair value | Modelled-Medium |
| Ed Prowse | Lock | 0.97 | 0.85 | £114,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom West | Flanker | 0.87 | 0.91 | £96,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Anthony Belleau | Fly-half | 0.79 | 0.72 | £110,000 | Overvalued | Reported |
| Tom James | Flanker | 0.54 | 0.60 | £89,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Elliot Millar Mills | Prop | 0.37 | 0.28 | £132,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Angus Scott-Young | Flanker | 0.27 | 0.30 | £92,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sonny Tonga'uiha | Flanker | 0.10 | 0.12 | £78,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Aiden Ainsworth-Cave | Flanker | 0.01 | 0.01 | £84,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Trevor Davison | Prop | -0.00 | -0.00 | £100,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Fyn Brown | Flanker | -0.07 | -0.09 | £78,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Charlie Ulcoq | Flanker | -0.07 | -0.09 | £78,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Emeka Atuanya | Flanker | -0.07 | -0.09 | £78,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Henry Lumley | Flanker | -0.08 | -0.10 | £78,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Archie Benson | Flanker | -0.15 | -0.19 | £80,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ollie Scola | Flanker | -0.33 | -0.40 | £81,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Cleopas Kundiona | Prop | -0.37 | -0.45 | £82,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Lockett | Lock | -0.75 | -0.76 | £99,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| James Ramm | Wing | -0.77 | -0.77 | £100,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Luke Green | Prop | -0.79 | -0.82 | £97,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Chunya Munga | Lock | -1.86 | -2.58 | £72,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Curtis Langdon | Hooker | -1.92 | -2.34 | £82,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Robbie Smith | Hooker | -2.12 | -1.77 | £120,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Henry Walker | Hooker | -2.38 | -3.36 | £71,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Jonny Weimann | Scrum-half | -3.87 | -5.30 | £73,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Toby Thame | Centre | -4.45 | -4.79 | £93,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ollie Sleightholme | Wing | -4.58 | -2.29 | £200,000 | Overvalued | Reported |
| Amena Caqusau | Wing | -5.53 | -8.65 | £64,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| James Pater | Wing | -9.36 | -12.82 | £73,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| James Martin | Wing | -10.37 | -14.40 | £72,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |