Moneyball club study
Squad cost, positional investment and replacement-adjusted player value — under one lens.
Northampton SaintsEffective cap includes Fin Smith (£600,000)
£7,000,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)
Squad analysis
Player detail
| Player | Position | WARRP | IPV | Est. salary | Value tier | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Freeman | Wing | 30.31 | 9.78 | £310,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Henry Pollock | Number 8 | 19.24 | 13.74 | £140,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| George Hendy | Fullback | 18.44 | 13.87 | £133,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Litchfield | Centre | 16.89 | 9.44 | £179,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Pearson | Flanker | 14.44 | 7.41 | £195,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Josh Kemeny | Flanker | 10.63 | 5.71 | £186,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| George Furbank | Fullback | 10.56 | 9.18 | £115,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Callum Chick | Number 8 | 9.42 | 4.76 | £198,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Alex Coles | Lock | 9.39 | 7.83 | £120,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Fin Smith | Fly-half | 8.91 | 1.48 | £600,000 | Fair value | Reported |
| Archie McParland | Scrum-half | 8.76 | 6.00 | £146,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sam Graham | Flanker | 8.28 | 5.52 | £150,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Rory Hutchinson | Centre | 8.00 | 4.37 | £183,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Edoardo Todaro | Wing | 7.56 | 5.95 | £127,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| JJ van der Mescht | Lock | 4.75 | 4.13 | £115,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Alex Mitchell | Scrum-half | 4.56 | 1.40 | £325,000 | Fair value | Reported |
| Danilo Fischetti | Prop | 4.36 | 1.74 | £250,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Emmanuel Iyogun | Prop | 2.85 | 2.07 | £138,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Craig Wright | Hooker | 1.80 | 1.62 | £111,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Fraser Dingwall | Centre | 0.82 | 0.46 | £179,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Angus Scott-Young | Flanker | 0.35 | 0.36 | £95,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Aiden Ainsworth-Cave | Flanker | 0.02 | 0.02 | £86,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sonny Tonga'uiha | Flanker | -0.18 | -0.22 | £80,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Archie Benson | Flanker | -0.19 | -0.23 | £83,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Fyn Brown | Flanker | -0.37 | -0.47 | £80,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Charlie Ulcoq | Flanker | -0.37 | -0.47 | £80,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Emeka Atuanya | Flanker | -0.37 | -0.47 | £80,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Cleopas Kundiona | Prop | -0.38 | -0.44 | £85,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Henry Lumley | Flanker | -0.38 | -0.47 | £80,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Lockett | Lock | -0.90 | -0.88 | £102,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ollie Scola | Flanker | -1.16 | -1.40 | £83,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom James | Flanker | -1.25 | -1.37 | £91,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Chunya Munga | Lock | -2.22 | -2.96 | £75,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Curtis Langdon | Hooker | -2.32 | -2.76 | £84,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Anthony Belleau | Fly-half | -2.63 | -2.39 | £110,000 | Overvalued | Reported |
| Robbie Smith | Hooker | -2.67 | -2.15 | £124,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ed Prowse | Lock | -2.91 | -2.46 | £118,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom West | Flanker | -3.25 | -3.28 | £99,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Elliot Millar Mills | Prop | -3.81 | -3.77 | £101,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Trevor Davison | Prop | -4.23 | -4.11 | £103,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| James Ramm | Wing | -4.94 | -4.80 | £103,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Luke Green | Prop | -5.20 | -5.20 | £100,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Jonny Weimann | Scrum-half | -6.07 | -8.09 | £75,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Henry Walker | Hooker | -7.56 | -10.36 | £73,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Amena Caqusau | Wing | -8.66 | -13.12 | £66,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Toby Thame | Centre | -8.89 | -9.26 | £96,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ollie Sleightholme | Wing | -9.16 | -4.58 | £200,000 | Overvalued | Reported |
| James Pater | Wing | -14.72 | -19.62 | £75,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| James Martin | Wing | -15.98 | -21.59 | £74,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |