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CLUB STUDY / 2025-26
Bristol Bears crest

Moneyball club study

Bristol Bears

Squad cost, positional investment and replacement-adjusted player value — under one lens.

League position6
Actual points54
Projected points37.3
Record11–0–7
Data completeness94%
Bristol Bears crestBristol Bears
Estimated squad cost
£6,598,000

Effective cap includes Tom Jordan (£325,000)

Cap headroom (est.)
£127,000

£6,725,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)

Championship Efficiency
5.65 (poor)
Projected win probability
49.3% · modelled

Squad analysis

Investment and KPI profile

Review data confidence →

Player detail

Squad valuation

47 players

Bristol Bears squad

PlayerPosition WARRP IPV Est. salaryValue tierConfidence
Kalaveti RavouvouWing23.1212.84£180,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Louis Rees-ZammitFullback14.295.72£250,000Significantly undervaluedReported
Fitz HardingFlanker13.505.79£233,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Benhard Janse van RensburgCentre12.415.77£215,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Ellis GengeProp10.347.04£147,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Joe OwenFlanker9.874.26£232,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Harry ThackerHooker9.787.19£136,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Kieran MarmionScrum-half8.455.22£162,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Gabriel OghreHooker7.353.20£230,000Significantly undervaluedReported
Joe BatleyLock5.443.70£147,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Steven LuatuaFlanker2.851.99£143,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Santiago GrondonaFlanker2.601.39£187,000Fair valueModelled-Medium
Tom JordanFly-half1.840.57£325,000OvervaluedReported
Matias MoroniCentre1.300.72£180,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Noah HewardWing1.260.87£145,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
James DunLock0.020.02£131,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Luka IvanishviliFlanker0.010.01£121,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
George TaylorLock-0.04-0.05£95,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Kenzie JenkinsFlanker-0.47-0.50£95,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Harry RandallScrum-half-0.55-0.34£162,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Kieran HillFlanker-0.68-0.72£94,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Ollie HarrisFlanker-0.85-0.90£95,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Pedro RubioloLock-0.94-0.85£110,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
George KloskaProp-1.29-0.82£157,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Oscar LennonFlanker-1.50-1.53£98,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Tomas GwilliamHooker-1.54-1.91£81,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Bill MataNumber 8-1.85-0.99£186,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Kofi CrippsFlanker-1.89-1.89£100,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Toby FrickerFlanker-1.99-2.07£96,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
James WilliamsCentre-2.81-1.62£173,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Jimmy HalliwellFlanker-3.23-3.11£104,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Max LahiffProp-3.92-3.77£104,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Jake WoolmoreProp-3.94-2.96£133,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Benjamin GrondonaNumber 8-3.98-2.84£140,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Sam GrahamslawFlanker-4.20-4.00£105,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Sam WolstenholmeFlanker-5.10-4.77£107,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Lovejoy ChawatamaProp-5.50-4.58£120,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
AJ MacGintyFly-half-5.62-5.07£111,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Jack BatesCentre-6.34-5.15£123,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Gabriel IbitoyeWing-7.41-6.50£114,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Aidan BoshoffWing-7.54-6.85£110,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Joe JenkinsCentre-7.61-6.98£109,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Josh CarringtonFullback-8.81-10.75£82,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Sam WorsleyFly-half-9.51-5.70£167,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Benjamin ElizaldeFullback-11.25-13.72£82,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Rich LaneFullback-12.24-14.06£87,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Max PepperWing-13.78-14.66£94,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium