Moneyball club study
Squad spend, where minutes go, and which players look like value or a stretch.
Bristol BearsEffective cap includes Tom Jordan (£325,000)
£6,725,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)
Squad analysis
Player detail
| Player | Position | WARRP | IPV | Est. salary | Value tier | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalaveti Ravouvou | Wing | 22.78 | 14.33 | £159,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Louis Rees-Zammit | Fullback | 15.21 | 6.08 | £250,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Fitz Harding | Flanker | 11.41 | 5.54 | £206,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Benhard Janse van Rensburg | Centre | 10.94 | 5.76 | £190,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ellis Genge | Prop | 8.71 | 3.63 | £240,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Joe Owen | Flanker | 8.33 | 4.06 | £205,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Harry Thacker | Hooker | 8.29 | 6.91 | £120,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Gabriel Oghre | Hooker | 6.25 | 2.72 | £230,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Kieran Marmion | Scrum-half | 6.14 | 2.86 | £215,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Jordan | Fly-half | 5.13 | 1.58 | £325,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Matias Moroni | Centre | 4.79 | 1.62 | £295,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Joe Batley | Lock | 4.57 | 3.54 | £129,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Harry Randall | Scrum-half | 3.36 | 2.35 | £143,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| George Kloska | Prop | 2.50 | 1.81 | £138,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Steven Luatua | Flanker | 2.46 | 1.45 | £170,000 | Fair value | Modelled-Medium |
| Santiago Grondona | Flanker | 2.22 | 0.90 | £248,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| James Williams | Centre | 1.31 | 0.86 | £153,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Noah Heward | Wing | 1.27 | 0.99 | £128,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Max Lahiff | Prop | 0.27 | 0.29 | £91,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Jake Woolmore | Prop | 0.18 | 0.16 | £118,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ollie Harris | Flanker | 0.04 | 0.04 | £84,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| James Dun | Lock | -0.01 | -0.01 | £115,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Luka Ivanishvili | Flanker | -0.04 | -0.02 | £161,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| George Taylor | Lock | -0.05 | -0.06 | £84,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Kofi Cripps | Flanker | -0.08 | -0.09 | £88,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Oscar Lennon | Flanker | -0.29 | -0.33 | £87,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Jimmy Halliwell | Flanker | -0.33 | -0.37 | £91,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Kieran Hill | Flanker | -0.37 | -0.45 | £83,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Kenzie Jenkins | Flanker | -0.41 | -0.49 | £84,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Toby Fricker | Flanker | -0.41 | -0.49 | £85,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Pedro Rubiolo | Lock | -0.74 | -0.51 | £145,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Lovejoy Chawatama | Prop | -1.07 | -1.01 | £106,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tomas Gwilliam | Hooker | -1.23 | -1.71 | £72,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sam Wolstenholme | Flanker | -1.48 | -1.56 | £95,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Bill Mata | Number 8 | -1.61 | -0.65 | £247,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sam Grahamslaw | Flanker | -2.10 | -2.26 | £93,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Jack Bates | Centre | -2.20 | -2.02 | £109,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Gabriel Ibitoye | Wing | -2.92 | -2.89 | £101,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Aidan Boshoff | Wing | -3.16 | -3.25 | £97,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Benjamin Grondona | Number 8 | -3.28 | -2.65 | £124,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Joe Jenkins | Centre | -3.30 | -3.44 | £96,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| AJ MacGinty | Fly-half | -3.55 | -2.43 | £146,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sam Worsley | Fly-half | -4.62 | -3.12 | £148,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Benjamin Elizalde | Fullback | -6.33 | -8.67 | £73,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Rich Lane | Fullback | -7.48 | -9.71 | £77,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Josh Carrington | Fullback | -7.80 | -10.69 | £73,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Max Pepper | Wing | -8.45 | -10.18 | £83,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |