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CLUB STUDY / 2025-26
Bath Rugby crest

Moneyball club study

Bath Rugby

Squad cost, positional investment and replacement-adjusted player value — under one lens.

League position2
Actual points69
Projected points39.7
Record13–0–5
Data completeness95%
Bath Rugby crestBath Rugby
Estimated squad cost
£8,497,000

Effective cap includes Finn Russell (£1,000,000)

Cap headroom (est.)
£0

£7,400,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)

Championship Efficiency
4.68 (poor)
Projected win probability
52.7% · modelled

Squad analysis

Investment and KPI profile

Review data confidence →

Player detail

Squad valuation

43 players

Bath Rugby squad

PlayerPosition WARRP IPV Est. salaryValue tierConfidence
Josh BaylissFlanker18.336.57£279,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Henry ArundellWing16.217.14£227,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Santi CarrerasFullback11.876.21£191,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Guy PepperFlanker7.953.98£200,000Significantly undervaluedReported
Sam UnderhillFlanker7.673.01£255,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Ted HillFlanker7.602.17£350,000Significantly undervaluedReported
Ollie LawrenceCentre7.492.96£253,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Dan FrostHooker5.763.70£156,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Finn RussellFly-half3.670.37£1,000,000OvervaluedReported
Kepu TuipulotuHooker3.632.65£137,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Joe CokanasigaWing3.621.64£221,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Ewan RichardsLock3.592.96£121,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Alfie BarbearyNumber 83.140.90£350,000OvervaluedReported
Thomas du ToitProp2.821.56£181,000Significantly undervaluedModelled-Medium
Tom de GlanvilleFullback2.681.43£188,000Fair valueModelled-Medium
Tom DunnHooker2.621.41£186,000Fair valueModelled-Medium
Cameron RedpathCentre2.361.09£217,000Fair valueModelled-Medium
Ethan StaddonFlanker2.151.22£176,000Fair valueModelled-Medium
Miles ReidNumber 81.010.38£266,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Will StuartProp0.280.26£107,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Ross MolonyLock0.040.02£180,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Quinn RouxLock0.000.00£153,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Neil le RouxFlanker-0.38-0.32£119,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Sam WintersFlanker-0.68-0.57£118,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Charlie EwelsLock-0.97-0.64£153,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Beno ObanoProp-1.26-0.61£208,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Will JeanesLock-1.52-1.86£82,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Billy SelaProp-1.67-1.22£137,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Max OjomohCentre-2.24-0.94£238,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Bernard van der LindeScrum-half-2.31-1.94£119,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Kieran VerdenProp-2.59-2.84£91,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Ben SpencerScrum-half-2.63-1.05£250,000OvervaluedReported
Scott KirkProp-3.24-2.94£110,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Enoch Opoku GyamfiLock-3.27-3.84£85,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Archie GriffinProp-3.35-2.56£131,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Francois van WykProp-4.10-2.65£155,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Arthur GreenNumber 8-4.16-2.63£158,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Chris HarrisCentre-4.24-2.29£185,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Tom Carr-SmithScrum-half-6.58-3.87£170,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Will ButtCentre-7.82-4.83£162,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Will MuirWing-9.43-6.83£138,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Louie HennesseyWing-9.98-6.79£147,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium
Ciaran DonoghueFly-half-13.40-9.12£147,000OvervaluedModelled-Medium