Estimated squad cost
£8,497,000
Effective cap includes Finn Russell (£1,000,000)
Cap headroom (est.)
£0
£7,400,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)
Championship Efficiency
4.68 (poor)
Projected win probability
52.7% · modelled

Moneyball club study
Squad cost, positional investment and replacement-adjusted player value — under one lens.
Effective cap includes Finn Russell (£1,000,000)
£7,400,000 effective cap (base cap + marquee)
Squad analysis
Player detail
| Player | Position | WARRP | IPV | Est. salary | Value tier | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Bayliss | Flanker | 18.33 | 6.57 | £279,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Henry Arundell | Wing | 16.21 | 7.14 | £227,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Santi Carreras | Fullback | 11.87 | 6.21 | £191,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Guy Pepper | Flanker | 7.95 | 3.98 | £200,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Sam Underhill | Flanker | 7.67 | 3.01 | £255,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ted Hill | Flanker | 7.60 | 2.17 | £350,000 | Significantly undervalued | Reported |
| Ollie Lawrence | Centre | 7.49 | 2.96 | £253,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Dan Frost | Hooker | 5.76 | 3.70 | £156,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Finn Russell | Fly-half | 3.67 | 0.37 | £1,000,000 | Overvalued | Reported |
| Kepu Tuipulotu | Hooker | 3.63 | 2.65 | £137,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Joe Cokanasiga | Wing | 3.62 | 1.64 | £221,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ewan Richards | Lock | 3.59 | 2.96 | £121,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Alfie Barbeary | Number 8 | 3.14 | 0.90 | £350,000 | Overvalued | Reported |
| Thomas du Toit | Prop | 2.82 | 1.56 | £181,000 | Significantly undervalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom de Glanville | Fullback | 2.68 | 1.43 | £188,000 | Fair value | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Dunn | Hooker | 2.62 | 1.41 | £186,000 | Fair value | Modelled-Medium |
| Cameron Redpath | Centre | 2.36 | 1.09 | £217,000 | Fair value | Modelled-Medium |
| Ethan Staddon | Flanker | 2.15 | 1.22 | £176,000 | Fair value | Modelled-Medium |
| Miles Reid | Number 8 | 1.01 | 0.38 | £266,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Will Stuart | Prop | 0.28 | 0.26 | £107,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ross Molony | Lock | 0.04 | 0.02 | £180,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Quinn Roux | Lock | 0.00 | 0.00 | £153,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Neil le Roux | Flanker | -0.38 | -0.32 | £119,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Sam Winters | Flanker | -0.68 | -0.57 | £118,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Charlie Ewels | Lock | -0.97 | -0.64 | £153,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Beno Obano | Prop | -1.26 | -0.61 | £208,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Will Jeanes | Lock | -1.52 | -1.86 | £82,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Billy Sela | Prop | -1.67 | -1.22 | £137,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Max Ojomoh | Centre | -2.24 | -0.94 | £238,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Bernard van der Linde | Scrum-half | -2.31 | -1.94 | £119,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Kieran Verden | Prop | -2.59 | -2.84 | £91,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ben Spencer | Scrum-half | -2.63 | -1.05 | £250,000 | Overvalued | Reported |
| Scott Kirk | Prop | -3.24 | -2.94 | £110,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Enoch Opoku Gyamfi | Lock | -3.27 | -3.84 | £85,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Archie Griffin | Prop | -3.35 | -2.56 | £131,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Francois van Wyk | Prop | -4.10 | -2.65 | £155,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Arthur Green | Number 8 | -4.16 | -2.63 | £158,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Chris Harris | Centre | -4.24 | -2.29 | £185,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Tom Carr-Smith | Scrum-half | -6.58 | -3.87 | £170,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Will Butt | Centre | -7.82 | -4.83 | £162,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Will Muir | Wing | -9.43 | -6.83 | £138,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Louie Hennessey | Wing | -9.98 | -6.79 | £147,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |
| Ciaran Donoghue | Fly-half | -13.40 | -9.12 | £147,000 | Overvalued | Modelled-Medium |